New PressInfo on TFF's site from July 19, 2002
T F F P r e s s I n f o 1 5 5
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July 19, 2002
N O N E E D F O R A W A R A G A I N S T I R
A Q
By Jonathan Power, TFF Associate
London - Of the three serious wars that the U.S. has fought since 1945 - Korea,
Vietnam and the Gulf War, one ended in defeat and two in draws - not exactly a
glorious record.
An Iraq war likewise could end in stalemate. Saddam Hussein is not the Taliban.
A war would require a large-scale land invasion of an American-British force
that would undoubtedly suffer significant casualties. It would also need staging
grounds and this time round Saudi Arabia, the main base for the Gulf War, is
unlikely to agree to offer its services. Moreover, what does America do if
Saddam decides to use the horrible weapons he is said to possess? It's one thing
for him to use them - the entire world knows he is a rogue - but if the U.S. and
Britain uses them too they will be judged by a different standard.
The U.S. suffered immense opprobrium in Vietnam for using napalm, which is
nothing as compared with modern day chemical, biological or nuclear weapons.
Besides, Iraq presumably would be using its weapons against only troops. If
America and Britain retaliated it would be inevitable that civilian Iraqis would
be hit as hard as its military.
And what happens if the U.S. and Britain simply get bogged down? How do they
deal with the mounting distaste for casualties at home? How do they cope with
the bitter anti-American sentiments of the Arab world? How does the U.S. fight a
second front, if war should open up elsewhere now that the Pentagon has recently
abandoned its goal of
being able to fight two regional wars simultaneously?
Read the analysis here:
http://www.transnational.org/pressinf/2002/pf155_NotneedWarIraq.html
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