New PressInfo on TFF's site from August 30, 2002
T F F P r e s s I n f o 1 5 7
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August 30, 2002
E U C O U N T R I E S M U S T A C T N O W
T O B R E A K O U T O F T H E
U S / I R A Q D I P L O M A T I C B L A C K O U T
By Jan Oberg, TFF director, and Christian Harleman, TFF Board member
Ignoring conflict-resolution's rules of thumb
Any professional conflict-resolution expert will tell you that it is better to
keep some channels open for communication with the adversary than to close them.
She or he would also argue that the more we know about the other side - and
about ourselves - the greater the chance that we will eventually make a
compromise or otherwise solve the problem.
That is, if we want to find a solution. The Bush regime obviously doesn't, and
the rest of the West - in particular the EU - doesn't seem able to be able get
its act together and decide on much more than criticising Iraq for one set of
reasons and the U.S. for another. The United Nations, who ought to be the
mediator, has been systematically marginalised by the U.S. and has little
legitimacy in the eyes of the Iraqis. So, we are heading for war because, in
reality, a U.S. war on Iraq is the only plan in town, and it is as mad as it is
bad.
It's sad but true; the world community (if there is one) desperately needs
go-betweens, mitigators and mediators but no country or organisation is able or
willing to play that role. This speaks volumes about the political and moral
immaturity of the post-Cold War worldorder.
In Baghdad, the U.S. has some contacts at the Embassy of Poland while Russia and
China have huge embassies. Norway has a functioning embassy headed by an
experienced charge d'affaires. When it comes to the EU, the present chair,
Denmark, does not even have representation. Sweden has a not-too-high ranking
diplomat from its embassy in Amman going to Baghdad a few days per month. The
only EU member with serious representation in Baghdad, although not a full
embassy, is France, which also runs a comprehensive cultural centre there.
This state of diplomatic affairs is a scandal in itself. It guarantees that
major Western governments know virtually nothing about the reality on the ground
and remain unable to communicate face-to-face with Iraqis from higher political
levels. Add to this the fact that there are very few Western journalists
permanently present in Iraq but, presumably, intelligence agents from virtually
all major Western nations, and you have a perfect diplomatic blackout, a recipe
for later political disaster.
This PressInfo offers advice to the EU with regards to a policy towards Iraq
© TFF 2002
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